tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Houston via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 14:48 RDU → 16:41 MSP
    DL 2521 · Delta · 2h 55m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 MSP → 21:37 IAH
    DL 2683 · Delta · 2h 57m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 49mRDU 14:48 to IAH 21:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.