tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:28 MSY → 09:59 ATL
    DL 2522 · Delta · 1h 31m · 90% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 ATL → 14:18 PHX
    DL 366 · Delta · 3h 48m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 50mMSY 07:28 to PHX 14:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.