tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Antonio → Tampa via Minneapolis: arrives on time 50%

  1. 14:30 SAT → 17:25 MSP
    DL 2528 · Delta · 2h 55m · 77% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 MSP → 22:26 TPA
    DL 2385 · Delta · 3h 11m · 75% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of San Antonio). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 56mSAT 14:30 to TPA 22:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.