tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Antonio → San Francisco via Minneapolis: arrives on time 58%

  1. 14:30 SAT → 17:25 MSP
    DL 2528 · Delta · 2h 55m · 77% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 MSP → 21:00 SFO
    DL 2809 · Delta · 4h 10m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind San Antonio). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 30mSAT 14:30 to SFO 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.