tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Indianapolis via New York: arrives on time 64%

  1. 11:07 TPA → 13:53 LGA
    DL 2531 · Delta · 2h 46m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:43 LGA → 17:13 IND
    DL 5646 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 30m · 83% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 06mTPA 11:07 to IND 17:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.