tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Redmond via Seattle: arrives on time 63%

  1. 13:36 SAN → 16:38 SEA
    DL 2533 · Delta · 3h 02m · 86% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:26 SEA → 18:45 RDM
    DL 4141 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 19m · 89% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 09mSAN 13:36 to RDM 18:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.