tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 RDU → 07:46 MSP
    DL 2538 · Delta · 2h 46m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 MSP → 12:26 LAS
    DL 2238 · Delta · 3h 18m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 159 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip9h 28mRDU 06:00 to LAS 12:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.