tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 RDU → 07:46 MSP
    DL 2538 · Delta · 2h 46m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:13 MSP → 10:35 LAS
    DL 2262 · Delta · 3h 22m · 85% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 35mRDU 06:00 to LAS 10:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.