tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → St Louis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:00 RDU → 07:46 MSP
    DL 2538 · Delta · 2h 46m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 MSP → 10:28 STL
    DL 3188 · Delta · 1h 33m · 85% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 28mRDU 06:00 to STL 10:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.