tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 16%

  1. 13:50 SEA → 17:46 DEN
    DL 2543 · Delta · 2h 56m · 39% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:32 DEN → 21:34 MSP
    DL 1220 · Delta · 2h 02m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection22%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 78% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (22%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 44mSEA 13:50 to MSP 21:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.