tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 83%

  1. 17:37 PDX → 20:03 LAX
    DL 2551 · Delta · 2h 26m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:55 LAX → 08:30 JFK +1 day
    DL 915 · Delta · 5h 35m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 11h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip11h 53mPDX 17:37 to JFK 08:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.