tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 17:37 PDX → 20:03 LAX
    DL 2551 · Delta · 2h 26m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 LAX → 05:25 JFK +1 day
    DL 960 · Delta · 5h 15m · 86% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 48mPDX 17:37 to JFK 05:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.