tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Pittsburgh via Minneapolis: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:50 PHX → 11:55 MSP
    DL 2553 · Delta · 3h 05m · 95% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:07 MSP → 16:23 PIT
    DL 4971 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 16m · 73% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 33mPHX 06:50 to PIT 16:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.