tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Jacksonville via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:50 PHX → 11:55 MSP
    DL 2553 · Delta · 3h 05m · 95% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:57 MSP → 16:54 JAX
    DL 2392 · Delta · 2h 55m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 02mPHX 06:50 to JAX 16:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.