tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Boston via Minneapolis: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:50 PHX → 11:55 MSP
    DL 2553 · Delta · 3h 05m · 95% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:46 MSP → 16:45 BOS
    DL 2558 · Delta · 2h 59m · 70% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 55mPHX 06:50 to BOS 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.