tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Bozeman via Minneapolis: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:50 PHX → 11:55 MSP
    DL 2553 · Delta · 3h 05m · 95% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:17 MSP → 14:48 BZN
    DL 2946 · Delta · 2h 33m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 00mPHX 06:50 to BZN 14:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.