tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Hebron via Minneapolis: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:50 PHX → 11:55 MSP
    DL 2553 · Delta · 3h 05m · 95% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 MSP → 18:38 CVG
    DL 703 · Delta · 1h 48m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 48mPHX 06:50 to CVG 18:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.