tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Nashville via Detroit: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:46 RSW → 20:44 DTW
    DL 2559 · Delta · 2h 58m · 69% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 DTW → 22:15 BNA
    DL 2126 · Delta · 1h 40m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Fort Myers). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 29mRSW 17:46 to BNA 22:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.