tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:46 RSW → 20:44 DTW
    DL 2559 · Delta · 2h 58m · 69% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 DTW → 23:29 EWR
    DL 2609 · Delta · 1h 49m · 71% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 43mRSW 17:46 to EWR 23:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.