tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Dulles via Detroit: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:46 RSW → 20:44 DTW
    DL 2559 · Delta · 2h 58m · 69% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:38 DTW → 23:14 IAD
    DL 3988 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 28mRSW 17:46 to IAD 23:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.