tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 63%

  1. 09:39 EWR → 11:33 DTW
    DL 2566 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 DTW → 12:46 MDW
    DL 4688 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 21m · 82% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 07mEWR 09:39 to MDW 12:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.