tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Rochester via Detroit: arrives on time 69%

  1. 09:39 EWR → 11:33 DTW
    DL 2566 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 DTW → 15:48 ROC
    DL 5211 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 23m · 72% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 52m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 09mEWR 09:39 to ROC 15:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.