tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Hebron via Detroit: arrives on time 59%

  1. 09:39 EWR → 11:33 DTW
    DL 2566 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 DTW → 13:35 CVG
    DL 5257 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 15m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 3h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip3h 56mEWR 09:39 to CVG 13:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.