tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 71%

  1. 09:39 EWR → 11:33 DTW
    DL 2566 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:48 DTW → 13:55 PHX
    DL 813 · Delta · 4h 07m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 16mEWR 09:39 to PHX 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.