tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:08 TYS → 19:14 ATL
    DL 2571 · Delta · 1h 06m · 71% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 ATL → 22:29 EWR
    DL 2527 · Delta · 2h 19m · 65% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 21mTYS 18:08 to EWR 22:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.