tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:08 TYS → 19:14 ATL
    DL 2571 · Delta · 1h 06m · 71% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 ATL → 22:27 LGA
    DL 490 · Delta · 2h 27m · 63% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 19mTYS 18:08 to LGA 22:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.