tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Las Vegas via San Diego: arrives on time 54%

  1. 12:05 SEA → 15:04 SAN
    DL 2572 · Delta · 2h 59m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:51 SAN → 17:26 LAS
    DL 3751 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 21mSEA 12:05 to LAS 17:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.