tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chattanooga via Detroit: arrives on time 61%

  1. 16:50 EWR → 18:50 DTW
    DL 2573 · Delta · 2h 00m · 74% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 DTW → 22:02 CHA
    DL 4894 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 52m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 12mEWR 16:50 to CHA 22:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.