tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Kansas City via Detroit: arrives on time 51%

  1. 16:50 EWR → 18:50 DTW
    DL 2573 · Delta · 2h 00m · 74% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 DTW → 20:51 MCI
    DL 1321 · Delta · 2h 01m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 01mEWR 16:50 to MCI 20:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.