tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Tampa via Detroit: arrives on time 57%

  1. 16:50 EWR → 18:50 DTW
    DL 2573 · Delta · 2h 00m · 74% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 DTW → 22:35 TPA
    DL 1355 · Delta · 2h 40m · 77% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 49mEWR 16:50 to TPA 22:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.