tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Norfolk via Detroit: arrives on time 57%

  1. 16:50 EWR → 18:50 DTW
    DL 2573 · Delta · 2h 00m · 74% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 DTW → 23:29 ORF
    DL 412 · Delta · 1h 49m · 64% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 39mEWR 16:50 to ORF 23:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.