tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Buffalo via Detroit: arrives on time 66%

  1. 16:50 EWR → 18:50 DTW
    DL 2573 · Delta · 2h 00m · 74% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 DTW → 23:58 BUF
    DL 978 · Delta · 1h 09m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 195 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 09mEWR 16:50 to BUF 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.