tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Milwaukee via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 16:50 EWR → 18:50 DTW
    DL 2573 · Delta · 2h 00m · 74% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DTW → 20:22 MKE
    DL 3724 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 22m · 64% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 32mEWR 16:50 to MKE 20:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.