tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Miami: arrives on time 75%

  1. 14:45 DCA → 17:33 MIA
    DL 2576 · Delta · 2h 47m · 67% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 43m layover in Miami (MIA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:16 MIA → 23:21 XNA
    AA 4049 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 07m · 82% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 43m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 38mDCA 14:45 to XNA 23:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.