tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Madison via Detroit: arrives on time 64%

  1. 13:00 EWR → 14:55 DTW
    DL 2577 · Delta · 1h 55m · 82% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 DTW → 16:47 MSN
    DL 5214 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 27m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 7 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 47mEWR 13:00 to MSN 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.