tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Madison via Detroit: arrives on time 61%

  1. 13:00 EWR → 14:55 DTW
    DL 2577 · Delta · 1h 55m · 82% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:10 DTW → 17:33 MSN
    DL 5245 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 25m · 68% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 35mEWR 13:00 to MSN 17:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.