tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:00 BWI → 08:56 ATL
    DL 2579 · Delta · 1h 55m · 91% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:50 ATL → 09:46 BHM
    DL 3164 · Delta · 57m · 90% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip3h 47mBWI 07:00 to BHM 09:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.