tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 79%

  1. 19:20 SMF → 22:02 SLC
    DL 2585 · Delta · 1h 42m · 91% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 SLC → 06:23 JFK +1 day
    DL 705 · Delta · 4h 24m · 89% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 03mSMF 19:20 to JFK 06:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.