tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → St Louis via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 14:00 TPA → 16:48 DTW
    DL 2587 · Delta · 2h 48m · 76% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DTW → 20:39 STL
    DL 1541 · Delta · 1h 39m · 78% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 39mTPA 14:00 to STL 20:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.