tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Seattle via Detroit: arrives on time 61%

  1. 14:00 TPA → 16:48 DTW
    DL 2587 · Delta · 2h 48m · 76% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:34 DTW → 22:34 SEA
    DL 565 · Delta · 5h 00m · 64% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 11h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 181 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip11h 34mTPA 14:00 to SEA 22:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.