tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Salt Lake City via Detroit: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:00 TPA → 16:48 DTW
    DL 2587 · Delta · 2h 48m · 76% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 DTW → 19:38 SLC
    DL 765 · Delta · 3h 58m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 38mTPA 14:00 to SLC 19:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.