tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Las Vegas via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 14:00 TPA → 16:48 DTW
    DL 2587 · Delta · 2h 48m · 76% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:43 DTW → 22:00 LAS
    DL 916 · Delta · 4h 17m · 72% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 11h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip11h 00mTPA 14:00 to LAS 22:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.