tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Jacksonville via New York: arrives on time 48%

  1. 10:05 DTW → 11:50 LGA
    DL 2589 · Delta · 1h 45m · 86% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:39 LGA → 15:19 JAX
    DL 5461 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 40m · 65% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 14mDTW 10:05 to JAX 15:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.