tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Washington via Boston: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:15 MSP → 19:11 BOS
    DL 2591 · Delta · 2h 56m · 67% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 BOS → 22:03 DCA
    DL 5666 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 53m · 59% on time, 7.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (7.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 43mMSP 15:15 to DCA 22:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.