tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → New York via Boston: arrives on time 26%

  1. 15:15 MSP → 19:11 BOS
    DL 2591 · Delta · 2h 56m · 67% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 BOS → 21:29 LGA
    DL 5849 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 50% on time, 12.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (12.5% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 14mMSP 15:15 to LGA 21:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.