tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Salt Lake City via Philadelphia: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:25 MSP → 18:07 PHL
    DL 2594 · Delta · 2h 42m · 76% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:53 PHL → 21:47 SLC
    DL 2022 · Delta · 4h 54m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 22mMSP 14:25 to SLC 21:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.