tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:55 DTW
    DL 2596 · Delta · 1h 55m · 91% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:50 DTW → 09:14 MDW
    DL 4684 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 24m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 14mEWR 06:00 to MDW 09:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.