tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Austin via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:55 DTW
    DL 2596 · Delta · 1h 55m · 91% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:04 DTW → 11:00 AUS
    DL 1218 · Delta · 2h 56m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 00mEWR 06:00 to AUS 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.