tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Santa Ana via Detroit: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:55 DTW
    DL 2596 · Delta · 1h 55m · 91% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 DTW → 11:06 SNA
    DL 1857 · Delta · 4h 46m · 70% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 06mEWR 06:00 to SNA 11:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.