tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Raleigh/Durham via Detroit: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:55 DTW
    DL 2596 · Delta · 1h 55m · 91% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DTW → 11:57 RDU
    DL 2164 · Delta · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 00mEWR 06:00 to RDU 11:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.